
EBC Markets Briefing | Yen seems devoid of self-correcting mechanisms
The historic joint US-Japan action last month has failed to shift the forces weighing on the yen. The currency stays close to a major psychological level, even though the greenback is losing credibility. Japan's economy slowed in Q2 and missed forecasts on softer household and business spending, but
EBC Markets Briefing | Oil prices higher after Washington threated to collapse Iran
Oil prices hit a nearly one-month high on Friday after Trump threatened to retaliate against countries supporting Iran as part of his efforts to end the war. The latest data shows that ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remained far below pre-war levels. Before the conflict, about 20% of the
EBC
EBC Markets Briefing | Aussie dollar takes back seat in an AI-driven world
Speculators are increasingly betting the RBA will raise interest rates again in November as inflation remains above the 2% target. Governor Bullock repeatedly stressed that inflation risks remain skewed to the upside. "While positions wagering on a September hike have been cut back, bets on a Novemb
EBC热点分析|日元找不到任何自救办法
上个月美日两国采取的这一历史性联合行动,未能扭转压制日元走势的局面。尽管美元信誉正在丧失,日元仍徘徊在重要心理关口附近。 受家庭和企业支出疲软影响,日本第二季度经济增长放缓,且未达预期。不过分析师表示,强劲的基本面动能和持续的价格压力可能会促使日本央行在下个月采取行动。 受高油价和通胀推动本7月进口额创下月度历史新高;与此同时,日元走软以及人工智能驱动的芯片热潮也推动出口达到创纪录水平。 随着主要来自美国的替代供应取代中东的原油进口,原油进口量已出现反弹。更长的贸易路线导致能源成本上升。 出口的激增凸显外部需求韧性,为日益依赖海外出口来抵消国内消费疲软的日本经济提供了关键支撑。 尽管如此,日本
EBC Markets Briefing | Sterling holds ground in the wake of Treasury buyback plan
The British pound hovered around the highest level in more than 3 years on Thursday on new US Treasury plans to steady the bond market against soaring long-term borrowing costs. A jump in household energy bills pushed British inflation to a 4-month high in July as expected, and it will likely rise f
EBC Markets Briefing | Swiss franc awaits US-Iran negotiation outcome
The Swiss franc was directionless on Tuesday as traders walked back expectations of near-term monetary tightening, although the imminent threat of an escalation in the Middle East war left sentiment fragile. The 30-year Treasury yield hit its highest level in 19 years as oil prices rose, with worri
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EBC Markets Briefing | Loonie up as Trump paused 50% tariffs on Canada
The Canadian dollar rose on Wednesday after Trump said Washington was not in any talks with Iran and has no plans to start new ones. He added that the Strait of Hormuz is open and cleared of water mines. Trump delayed a planned 50% tax on select Canadian goods for three days. He made the announcemen
EBC Markets Briefing | Oil traders wager on recurring supply jolt
Sentiment in the crude oil market has shifted to expecting prices to decline at the annual APPEC where the least-sighted animal was a bull in a sea of bearish participants. Brent crude prices are likely to fall to around $55 per barrel by year-end as OPEC continue to unwind production into the marke
EBC
EBC热点分析|人工智能主宰世界后 澳元有些过气
由于通胀率仍高于2%的目标水平,投机者越来越看好澳大利亚联储将在11月再次加息。行长布洛克多次强调,通胀风险仍偏向上行。 “押注9月加息的头寸已有所减少,而押注RBA在11月加息的交易依然热门,”澳大利亚联邦银行短期利率交易总监Scott Bovis表示。 部分投资者则持更为谨慎的态度,他们指出失业率逐渐上升以及房地产市场信心疲软,认为这些迹象表明紧缩政策正在拖累经济。 尽管2026年已三次加息,贝莱德仍对紧缩周期是否已经结束表示怀疑。早在今年2月美国对伊朗发动袭击之前,该国的消费者价格就已经处于高位。 价格上涨现象在众多商品类别中根深蒂固。经济学家指出,由于生产率低下,国内经济运行水平已超出
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EBC Markets Briefing | Oil prices unchanged as US eyes indefinite naval blockade of Iran
Oil prices steady on Friday after Washington threatened an indefinite naval blockade of Iran, after the previous session's fall on a weaker outlook for demand and a large build in US stocks. Iran and the US still cannot agree on how to stop the war in the Gulf. An Iranian leader said that latest me
EBC
