🌅 Morning Market Up... dari NORDFX Global

12 Sep 2025, 14:24 · Views 112

🌅 Morning Market Update – 12.09.2025 📈 After yesterday’s rally, equity markets are stabilising this morning. U.S. and European index futures are moving in a narrow range of just −0.05% to +0.05%. 🇩🇪🇬🇧 Key releases today: Germany’s inflation data, UK GDP figures, and from the U.S., the University of Michigan survey with consumer sentiment and inflation expectations. 💵 The dollar is weaker (−0.3%), while 🥇 gold is up +0.5% and 🪙 silver shines with +1.4%. U.S. 10-year Treasury yields edged higher above 4.03%. EUR/USD stays flat near 1.173. 🛢️ Oil and natural gas are down about −0.5%, while agricultural commodities show little movement. 💹 In crypto, Bitcoin broke above $115,700 (+1%), and Ethereum surged past $4,500 (+2.5%). 🌏 In Asia, equities mostly gained. Alibaba soared on AI optimism, while TSMC, SK Hynix, and Samsung also moved higher. ✨ Stay tuned with NordFX — the markets never sleep, and neither do the opportunities!

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ECB Week: EUR/USD, Gold and Oil Before the July Policy Test 🏦 | NordFX All eyes on Frankfurt this week. The ECB meets July 23, and markets are betting big on another hold, deposit rate stays at 2.25%, with odds near 88%. Cooling inflation (2.8% in June vs 3.2% in May) gives Lagarde room to stay cautious rather than commit to a new direction. 🎯 💶 EUR/USD hovers near 1.14, but the real driver may be Washington, not Frankfurt. The Fed meets July 29-30, and a dovish surprise from either side could push the pair toward 1.16-1.18. A hawkish twist could send it back to 1.12. 🥇 Gold sits just above $4,000/oz, torn between inflation worries pushing it up and fading safe haven demand pulling it down. One surprise from either central bank could break the standoff. 🛢️ Oil is the real wildcard. Brent has jumped ~30% off its July lows as US-Israel-Iran tensions escalate and fears grow over shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Rising energy costs are already feeding into inflation, complicating the math for both the ECB and the Fed. 📊 Bottom line: an ECB decision, a looming Fed meeting, and oil on edge, all in one week. Expect volatility to spike across EUR/USD, gold and crude. 🔥 Ready to trade the moves? 👉 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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CPI/PPI Week: Dollar, Gold and Risk Assets at the Inflation Crossroads with NordFX 📊🔥 Buckle up: June CPI lands July 14, PPI and the Fed's Beige Book follow July 15. May's headline CPI ran hot at 4.2% YoY (core 2.9%), with energy alone driving over 60% of the monthly rise. With fresh Middle East tensions rattling oil, this print carries extra weight ⚠️ The dollar is already jittery. DXY has slid to around 100.5-101 as fragile US-Iran de-escalation talk cooled safe-haven demand. Yet markets still price a 60-65% chance of a September Fed hike, this cycle is about tightening, not cutting. A hot CPI could snap the dollar right back up 💵 Gold's been on a rollercoaster: after topping $4,140/oz, it's pulled back 5-6% in a month, still up over 21% YoY. Geopolitics and central bank buying (China's fastest reserve build in 2.5 years) push it up, a firmer dollar and high yields pull it down. This week's data breaks the tie 🥇 Equities look calm near record highs, but that calm is fragile. A hot print = hawkish repricing and a risk-off wobble. A soft print = the rally extends and the dollar slips further. One data release, three markets in motion. Don't just watch it, trade it ⚡ 👉 Trade CPI/PPI volatility with NordFX: https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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🌅 NordFX Morning Update – July 6, 2026 📊 Asian Session Asian shares traded mostly higher on light, holiday-shortened trade. MSCI Asia Pacific Index +0.3%. 🇰🇷 Kospi led gains, +1.8% on tech strength. 🇭🇰 Hang Seng and 🇨🇳 Shanghai Composite edged up, while 🇯🇵 Nikkei and Seoul tech names were choppy earlier in the session. 🇮🇳 Sensex +0.23%, Nifty +0.15% at the open despite a softer rupee. 💵 FX & Commodities USD/JPY climbed to 161.92 as trading resumed after the July 4 holiday, dollar firm on cautious sentiment. 🛢️ Oil extended losses: Brent $71.87, WTI $68.59, pressured by OPEC+'s fifth straight output hike (+188k bpd). 🥇 Gold holding near $4,180–4,190/oz, consolidating after last week's bounce off 8-month lows. 📅 Key Drivers Fed's cautious tone continues to support risk appetite after last week's soft jobs data. US ISM Services PMI due today – watch for confirmation of slowing but resilient growth. Iran–US talks and Strait of Hormuz supply risk still steering oil sentiment. ⚠️ Stay sharp: light liquidity from the US holiday week can mean sharper moves on headlines. 📈 Trade the moves with NordFX!

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📊 NordFX Insight: Industrial Production and Import Prices – How Real Economy Data Moves FX Two "boring" US reports are quietly steering the dollar right now. Here's why they deserve your attention. 🧵 🏭 Industrial Production Output from factories, mines and utilities has been choppy in 2026: down 0.5% in March, up 0.9% in April, then just +0.1% in May, missing forecasts. Capacity utilization sits around 76%, still below its long-run average. Verdict: the industrial economy isn't overheating. 💵 Import Prices Here trade policy hits the data directly. Import prices rose 1.9% in May after 2.0% in April, lifting the annual rate to 6.7%, the fastest in years. Air freight import costs alone jumped nearly 28% year over year. The cause: a wave of new tariffs, including a 10% global surcharge, Section 232 duties on steel, aluminum and copper, plus fresh Section 301 measures, has pushed the average US tariff rate above 9%. 📦 🌍 Why It Matters for FX Soft output plus rising import costs is a tricky mix for the Fed: not clean growth, not clean disinflation, more like stagflation-style pressure, and that keeps rate expectations volatile. Layer on today's backdrop: renewed US strikes on Iran, energy market jitters, and a new Fed chair steering policy, and you get a dollar that jumps on every print. DXY has been oscillating near 100-101 this month, while EUR/USD pushed back above 1.14 as traders trim Fed hike bets and lean into ECB tightening expectations. 📉📈 🎯 Bottom Line Industrial production shows how strong the real economy is. Import prices show how much tariffs and supply chains are adding to inflation. Together they shape the Fed's next move, and that move ripples through every major currency pair. 💡 Ready to trade the next big data-driven swing? Open your account with NordFX 👉 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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📉 NordFX Insight: Quiet Markets Can Be the Most Expensive Ones US markets are closed for Independence Day, summer volume is thinning fast, and the tape looks sleepy. Don't be fooled. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh just dropped forward guidance entirely, meaning the Fed is now flying on pure data, and the next surprise print could hit a market with almost nobody standing on the other side of the trade to absorb it. ⚠️ Three numbers that matter right now 🔸 3.50 to 3.75%, the Fed's current rate range, held steady in June with zero guidance on what's next 🔸 4.2%, the annual CPI increase through May, the sharpest 12-month jump since April 2023 🔸 July 24, the expiry date for the temporary 10% US tariff surcharge, already ruled unlawful by the Court of International Trade in May, still tangled in appeal Any one of these can turn a dead Tuesday into a 100 pip afternoon. 📊 Why thin markets bite harder When institutional desks step back for summer, retail and algo flow fill the gap. That flow doesn't add stability, it adds acceleration. A single tariff headline or a stray line in the Fed minutes (due next week) can push price further and faster than it would in a normal liquid session, simply because there's less depth to absorb the order. ✅ How to actually trade this 1️⃣ Limit orders only, market orders get punished by wider spreads on low volume 2️⃣ Cut size before the move, not after you're stopped out 3️⃣ Flag the calendar: Fed minutes, ECB and BOE commentary, July 24 tariff deadline 4️⃣ Treat a sudden volume spike as a signal to check the news, not chase the candle 5️⃣ Remember: no news yet doesn't mean no risk 🎯 The traders who protect capital in the quiet weeks are the ones with dry powder when the real move hits. Trade with tighter spreads and faster execution when it counts 👉 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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