Morning traders, thi... dari Smart Jet

19 Sep 2022, 15:50 · Views 181

Morning traders, this week's action starts on Wednesday with the FOMC, we keep favoring Dollar longs and CHF longs into both their respective rate decisions, the FOMC on Wednesday and the SNB on Thursday, and there's also the BoE rate decision on Thursday as well that could provide an interesting trade, monitoring for opportunities Will be back with the latest from Goldmans in a minute

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Morning traders, today I'm looking at EURUSD to possibly jump into shorts from the top of the technical range near 1.10800, setting an alert there and will look at lower timeframe price action to confirm, we want to be careful with USD longs ahead of the CPI but not too careful that we miss the entry, 1.10800 is a decent resistance that we don't want to hesitate too much to short so let's see what we see when price gets there Will be back with the latest from Goldmans in a minute to see what they are up to this week

Smart Jet

Powell still speaking but so far not much forward guidance is being given, simply the FED is open to hiking further but also open to a pause depending on how the data develops until the next rate decision, so without much said from Powell the Dollar is rightfully basically flat after a bit of volatility on both sides, not a lot to do with it, will see where markets are at tomorrow at the London open but for now, no short term bias and no short term fundamental direction from this flat FOMC

Smart Jet

Morning traders, I'm seeing a big beautiful bearish engulfing on the daily on GBPUSD, and that I think will be enough to get me into shorts over the next couple of sessions Yes, currently we should expect a bit more Dollar strength heading into the FOMC next week, the current context feels a mix of risk off sentiment with also some hawkish expectations for the upcoming rate decision, a 25bps is sealed in but now there is some sentiment growing for even another 25bps hike at the June rate decision, NOT sure about that because between now and then the pressure on banks could resurface but we will see Either way, my focus remains on USD longs at the moment, open to changing my mind quickly if the PCE on Friday prints soft, but for now, I will be looking for GBPUSD shorts near 1.24800, no pending order placed yet

Smart Jet

Morning traders, today what I'm mostly interested in is comments from FED speakers, we can interpret the CPI however we want but what matters is how the FED interprets it in order to decide their next move, so listening for comments on whether for them that's progress or whether they feel they need to do more, there is a speaker today and few others tomorrow so listening very closely Other than that, BoE rate decision today is one to watch too, we have no GBP exposure at the moment so it doesn't particularly interest us but Goldmans has been alerting about a possible hawkish outcome out of this event that could lead to GBP strength across the board, just something to be aware of in case you have any GBP trade running

Smart Jet

Morning traders, RBA hiked 25bps overnight which was a move not priced in, and that's an interesting development, mainly because it offers us an insight into what central banks might be thinking, you know, if the RBA is overextending on its tightening then other central banks might find themselves in a similar situation, sure the context around the RBA and FED is different but still, the RBA just opened the door for the possibility of central banks doing MORE than what's currently expected With that said, this is not something that we can take action on short term but it whispers that it is time to be careful with risk assets again, more tightening not just from the FED but from other central banks too will put more pressure on the economy globally which will weigh on risk, so in this context I continue to like the Dollar

Smart Jet