🌅 Morning Wrap (19.11.2024)

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📈 Asia in the Green

Asian markets rallied with tech stocks leading gains, riding on Wall Street’s overnight strength:


🇯🇵 Nikkei: +0.5%

🇰🇷 KOSPI: +0.2%

🇦🇺 ASX 200: +1.1%

🇨🇳 CSI 300 remained flat ahead of the LPR decision.

💻 US & Europe Futures


🇺🇸 US futures steady as markets await NVIDIA earnings:

S&P 500 futures +0.15%.

🇪🇺 European futures hint at a positive open: STOXX 50 +0.55%.

💵 Dollar & Rates


Dollar 🛑 retreats from one-year highs as markets digest Trump policy expectations.

Treasury yields ease: 10-year at 4.408%.

Fed rate cut? Markets see a 58.4% chance in December.

🇦🇺 RBA Minutes

RBA remains cautious on inflation, leaning towards restrictive policy. Cash rate likely unchanged till mid-2025. AUD steady at $0.6504.


💹 Japanese Yen Watch

JPY supported at 154.47 after Finance Minister's warning on volatility. BOJ’s dovish stance holds firm despite weak economic data.


₿ Bitcoin on the Move

Bitcoin trades at 💰 $91,713 after MicroStrategy’s record $4.6B purchase of 51,780 coins (avg: $88,627). Trump optimism cools as markets await policy clarity.


🛢️ Oil & Gold


Oil: Brent +$73.45, WTI +$69.31 on production halts in Norway and Kazakhstan.

Gold: 📈 $2,622 as dollar weakens and tensions rise following US-authorized strikes into Russia.

🗳️ Trump’s Treasury Hunt

Marc Rowan (Apollo CEO) and Kevin Warsh (ex-Fed Governor) emerge as Treasury picks after John Paulson exits.


📊 Goldman’s S&P Prediction

Goldman joins Morgan Stanley: S&P 500 target 6,500 by end-2025, expecting 11% earnings growth. Warns of tariff and yield risks.


🏘️ China’s Property Push

Beijing and Shanghai roll out tax breaks to stimulate housing, including VAT exemptions for resales held over 2 years. More cities likely to follow.


🌏 IMF's Asia Warning

IMF flags risks from US-China tariff disputes but holds 2024 Asia growth forecast at 4.6%.


👷 Boeing Job Cuts

Boeing to lay off 2,500 workers in US hubs, part of broader 17,000 job reductions.


📅 What to Watch Today:


🇪🇺 Eurozone October CPI (final).

🇺🇸 US housing data.

🗣️ Speeches: Fed’s Schmid, BOE’s Bailey, and ECB’s Elderson.

Stay tuned! 📢

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