• USD/JPY downtrend persists, with the RSI favoring sellers ahead of the Fed's rate cut decision.
• A 25-bps Fed rate cut could push USD/JPY higher toward 142.47, with potential to target the 143.00 figure.
• A 50-bps cut could lead to a retest of 140.32, with further downside aiming for the YTD low of 139.58.

The USD/JPY dropped after reaching a four-day high of 142.47, yet it remains range-bound during the North American session. The rise in US Treasury yields and a soft US Dollar keeps the pair trapped within the September 17 trading range. Therefore, the major trades at 141.88, losses 0.36%

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY downtrend remains in place, but the Federal Reserve’s decision to cut rates by a smaller or larger size could trigger different reactions. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) favors sellers, hence further downside.

If the Fed lowers rates by 25 basis points, this could be bullish for the USD/JPY and push prices toward the September 17 high at 142.47, which, if cleared, will expose the 143.00 figure.

On the other hand, a 50 bps rate cut could allow the September 17 low of 140.32 to be retested and pave the way for the challenge of the year-to-date (YTD) low of 139.58.