POUND STERLING DECLINES AS MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS INTENSIFY RISK-AVERSION

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  • The Pound Sterling declines against the US Dollar even though the latter plunges on firm Fed rate-cut prospects.
  • Slowing US labor demand has prompted expectations of the Fed’s bulk rate cuts.
  • Middle East tensions have escalated as Iran launched dozens of missiles on Israel.

The Pound Sterling (GBP) slumps to nearly 1.2770 against the US Dollar (USD) in Monday’s London session. The GBP/USD pair weakens as risk-aversion intensifies on deepening Middle East risks. Also, the Cable drops sharply despite the plummeting USD. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, plunges to near 102.40, the lowest since March 11.

The US Dollar has been hit hard badly by firm speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will reduce interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) in September. Also, traders have priced in more than 100 basis points (bps) rate cuts this year. The expectations of the Fed’s bulk rate cut were boosted by easing United States (US) labor market conditions and contracting activities in the manufacturing sector.

The US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for July showed that fresh payrolls came in lower at 114K than estimates of 175K and June’s reading of 179K. The Unemployment Rate jumped to 4.3% from expectations and the prior release of 4.1%. Meanwhile, activities in the manufacturing sector, as measured by the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), contracted at a faster pace to 46.8 in July from the prior release of 48.5. A slew of weak economic data indicates that the economy struggles to bear the consequences of higher interest rates, which point to a slowdown ahead.


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