Analysts at TD Securities share a brief preview of this week's key macroeconomic events from the US.

Looking for payrolls to lose momentum

The FOMC meeting will grab the headlines this week amid a very busy data calendar for the US. Chair Powell will likely sound more cautious than usual, with a hawkish bent, regarding the policy outlook. "Higher for longer" will likely remain the name of the game for now. We also expect the Fed to announce a preliminary plan to taper QT starting in June.

We also look for payrolls to lose momentum at the start of the second quarter following Q1's notable showing, while ECI growth likely picked up modestly. The QRA, the March JOLTS report and the ISM surveys for April will also garner attention this week.