AUD/USD surrenders Monday’s gains after RBA pauses for second meeting. Economists at Société Générale analyze the pair’s technical outlook.
Break above 0.6840 is essential to affirm an extended up-move
AUD/USD failed to overcome the hurdle of 0.6900 representing the descending trend line drawn since April 2022 (now at 0.6840) and high of June; this has resulted in a steady pullback.
A revisit of 0.6560/0.6520, the 76.4% retracement from May is not ruled out. Defence of this zone can lead to a bounce however it would be interesting to see if the pair can reclaim the trend line at 0.6840; this break is essential to affirm an extended up-move.
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